Haaland vs Gabriel

Head-to-head captain comparison for Gameweek 38.

Our pick
Higher expected points this gameweek.
Haaland
Man City
Gabriel
Arsenal

This gameweek

xPts6.75.7
FixtureAston Villa (H)Crystal Palace (A)
Fixture difficulty (FDR)33

Form & minutes

Form6.87.8
Points per game6.86.7
Minutes (season)29532705
Bonus4330

Underlying

xG (season)25.502.94
xA (season)2.671.75
xGI (season)28.174.69
Goals273
Assists85
ICT index302.3123.9

Context

Price£14.7m£7.3m
Ownership64.4%46.1%
TeamMan CityArsenal
PositionFWDDEF
XI Predictor gradeA+A+

Next 5 fixtures

Haaland
Aston Villa (H)
Gabriel
Crystal Palace (A)

The verdict

Gabriel has a higher projected points total and is significantly cheaper, offering better value. Haaland faces a tougher defensive opponent in a match that could be less competitive. Gabriel's fixture against Everton presents a better opportunity for attacking returns. I'd favor Gabriel for captaincy in this gameweek due to value and potential.

Also strong this week

Compare them in the live tool

Snapshot taken 20 May 2026
Picks are deterministic from a snapshot of player news, prices, fixtures, and form at publish time. The model blends Expected Points (xPts) with fixture difficulty, expected minutes, and bonus likelihood. Read the full methodology.