XI Predictor

Top XI Predictor picks for Gameweek 38

The 15 highest-rated players to start in Gameweek 38 ranked by expected points across all positions.

The short version
  • • Haaland leads with 6.7 xPts in GW38.
  • • The top 5 average 5.5 xPts.
  • • Cheapest in the top 15 is Calvert-Lewin at £5.8m.
Top-10 avg xPts
5.0
Top-10 avg ownership
32.9%
Cheapest
Calvert-Lewin (£5.8m)
Most expensive
Haaland (£14.7m)
Our top pick
Haaland
6.7
xPts GW38
Man City · FWD · £14.7m · 64.4% owned
Fixture:
Aston Villa (H)

Full ranking

#PlayerPricexPts GW38
1Haaland
Man City · FWD
Also in: Captains · Free hit · Forwards
£14.7m6.7
2B.Fernandes
Man Utd · MID
Also in: Captains · Free hit · Midfielders
£10.4m5.8
3Gabriel
Arsenal · DEF
Also in: Captains · Free hit · Value
£7.3m5.7
4Enzo
Chelsea · MID
Also in: Captains · Free hit · Value
£6.4m4.8
5Thiago
Brentford · FWD
Also in: Captains · Free hit · Forwards
£7.3m4.7
6Semenyo
Man City · MID
Also in: Captains · Free hit · Midfielders
£8.1m4.7
7Bruno G.
Newcastle · MID
Also in: Captains · Free hit · Differentials
£6.9m4.6
8Rice
Arsenal · MID
Also in: Captains · Midfielders
£7.2m4.5
9Calvert-Lewin
Leeds · FWD
Also in: Free hit · Value · Forwards
£5.8m4.5
10Raya
Arsenal · GKP
Also in: Free hit · Goalkeepers
£6.2m4.4
11Welbeck
Brighton · FWD
Also in: Differentials · Forwards
£6.4m4.4
12Gyökeres
Arsenal · FWD
Also in: Forwards
£9.1m4.3
13Gibbs-White
Nott'm Forest · MID
Also in: Differentials · Midfielders
£7.5m4.3
14Saliba
Arsenal · DEF
Also in: Free hit · Defenders
£6.3m4.2
15Mateta
Crystal Palace · FWD
Also in: Differentials · Forwards
£7.6m4.2

Expected points (GW38)

PlayerxPts
Haaland6.7
B.Fernandes5.8
Gabriel5.7
Enzo4.8
Thiago4.7
Semenyo4.7
Bruno G.4.6
Rice4.5
Calvert-Lewin4.5
Raya4.4

Price vs expected points

PlayerPrice (£m)xPts
Haaland14.76.7
B.Fernandes10.45.8
Gabriel7.35.7
Enzo6.44.8
Thiago7.34.7
Semenyo8.14.7
Bruno G.6.94.6
Rice7.24.5
Calvert-Lewin5.84.5
Raya6.24.4
Welbeck6.44.4
Gyökeres9.14.3
Gibbs-White7.54.3
Saliba6.34.2
Mateta7.64.2

Best by price bracket

£5.5–8.0m
  • Gabriel — 5.7 xPts · £7.3m
  • Enzo — 4.8 xPts · £6.4m
  • Thiago — 4.7 xPts · £7.3m
£8.0–10.5m
Over £10.5m

What stands out

Haaland's high expected points suggest he's a solid pick to finish the gameweek strong. B. Fernandes also showed strong scoring potential, making him an attractive midfield option. Gabriel provided defensive upside with his expected points, offering a balanced choice. Enzo's expected points put him in a decent position for a midfield play. Thiago, despite being a forward, had reasonable expected points and could be a surprise performer.

Per-player notes
Haaland — 6.7 xPts, form 6.8, 6.8 ppg, 64.4% owned. xG 25.50 · xA 2.67 · ICT 302.
B.Fernandes — 5.8 xPts, form 5.5, 6.5 ppg, 47.8% owned. xG 10.72 · xA 12.13 · ICT 368.
Gabriel — 5.7 xPts, form 7.8, 6.7 ppg, 46.1% owned. xG 2.94 · xA 1.75 · ICT 124.
Enzo — 4.8 xPts, form 6.2, 4.5 ppg, 11.1% owned. xG 11.26 · xA 7.22 · ICT 261.
Thiago — 4.7 xPts, form 2.8, 4.8 ppg, 31.7% owned. xG 20.55 · xA 1.83 · ICT 255.
Semenyo — 4.7 xPts, form 3.6, 5.4 ppg, 47.0% owned. xG 11.00 · xA 3.05 · ICT 249.
Bruno G. — 4.6 xPts, form 4.5, 5.5 ppg, 6.2% owned. xG 5.57 · xA 4.91 · ICT 201.
Rice — 4.5 xPts, form 3.8, 5.1 ppg, 24.2% owned. xG 3.15 · xA 7.32 · ICT 215.
Glossary
xPts
Expected points: our model's forecast for the player's next gameweek score.
FDR
Fixture difficulty rating, 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest).
xG / xA / xGI
Expected goals, expected assists, and the sum (expected goal involvements).
ICT
The Influence-Creativity-Threat composite published with official data.
Ownership
Percent of managers who currently own the player.
Form
Recent points-per-match average over the last several matches.
xPts/£m
Expected points produced per £1m of price — our value score.
Snapshot taken 20 May 2026
Picks are deterministic from a snapshot of player news, prices, fixtures, and form at publish time. The model blends Expected Points (xPts) with fixture difficulty, expected minutes, and bonus likelihood. Read the full methodology.

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