XI Predictor

Best free hit team for Gameweek 38

An optimised free hit XI for Gameweek 38 maximising expected points within a £100m budget.

The short version
  • • 3-4-3 formation projects 54.2 xPts before captaincy.
  • • Captain pick is Haaland.
  • • Squad cost: £84.5m.
Total xPts
54.2
Cost
£84.5m
Formation
3-4-3
Captain
Haaland
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Total xPts
54.2
Cost
£84.5m
Formation
3-4-3
Captain
Haaland

The XI

#PlayerPricexPts GW38
1Raya
Arsenal · GKP
Also in: Top picks · Goalkeepers
£6.2m4.4
2Gabriel
Arsenal · DEF
Also in: Captains · Top picks · Value
£7.3m5.7
3Saliba
Arsenal · DEF
Also in: Top picks · Defenders
£6.3m4.2
4Guéhi
Man City · DEF
Also in: Value · Defenders
£5.1m4.1
5B.Fernandes
Man Utd · MID
Also in: Captains · Top picks · Midfielders
£10.4m5.8
6Enzo
Chelsea · MID
Also in: Captains · Top picks · Value
£6.4m4.8
7Semenyo
Man City · MID
Also in: Captains · Top picks · Midfielders
£8.1m4.7
8Bruno G.
Newcastle · MID
Also in: Captains · Top picks · Differentials
£6.9m4.6
9Haaland
Man City · FWD
Also in: Captains · Top picks · Forwards
£14.7m6.7
10Thiago
Brentford · FWD
Also in: Captains · Top picks · Forwards
£7.3m4.7
11Calvert-Lewin
Leeds · FWD
Also in: Top picks · Value · Forwards
£5.8m4.5

Expected points (GW38)

PlayerxPts
Raya4.4
Gabriel5.7
Saliba4.2
Guéhi4.1
B.Fernandes5.8
Enzo4.8
Semenyo4.7
Bruno G.4.6
Haaland6.7
Thiago4.7
Calvert-Lewin4.5

Why this XI

  • GKP: Raya — combined 4.4 xPts on an average fixture difficulty of 3.0.
  • DEF: Gabriel, Saliba, Guéhi — combined 14.0 xPts on an average fixture difficulty of 3.0.
  • MID: B.Fernandes, Enzo, Semenyo, Bruno G. — combined 19.9 xPts on an average fixture difficulty of 3.3.
  • FWD: Haaland, Thiago, Calvert-Lewin — combined 15.9 xPts on an average fixture difficulty of 3.3.

Captain & strategy

This XI is built for the final gameweek. Raya offers a strong defence for a clean sheet. Gabriel and Saliba provide guaranteed minutes and attacking threat from set pieces. Fernandes and Guéhi target goals and assists. Semenyo and Bruno G. are on penalties and have high shot volumes. Haaland is a consistent goal threat, and Calvert-Lewin offers a differential pick.

Tweak this XI in the live best free hit team tool

Glossary
xPts
Expected points: our model's forecast for the player's next gameweek score.
FDR
Fixture difficulty rating, 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest).
xG / xA / xGI
Expected goals, expected assists, and the sum (expected goal involvements).
ICT
The Influence-Creativity-Threat composite published with official data.
Ownership
Percent of managers who currently own the player.
Form
Recent points-per-match average over the last several matches.
xPts/£m
Expected points produced per £1m of price — our value score.
Snapshot taken 20 May 2026
Picks are deterministic from a snapshot of player news, prices, fixtures, and form at publish time. The model blends Expected Points (xPts) with fixture difficulty, expected minutes, and bonus likelihood. Read the full methodology.

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