XI Predictor

Best goalkeepers for Gameweek 38

Top goalkeepers for Gameweek 38 ranked by expected points.

The short version
  • • Raya (Arsenal) tops the list at 4.4 xPts.
  • • Pope and Donnarumma round out the top 3.
Top-10 avg xPts
3.6
Top-10 avg ownership
10.8%
Cheapest
Darlow (£4.0m)
Most expensive
Raya (£6.2m)
Our top pick
Raya
4.4
xPts GW38
Arsenal · GKP · £6.2m · 36.5% owned
Fixture:
Crystal Palace (A)

Full ranking

#PlayerPricexPts GW38
1Raya
Arsenal · GKP
Also in: Top picks · Free hit
£6.2m4.4
2Pope
Newcastle · GKP
Also in: Value
£5.0m3.7
3Donnarumma
Man City · GKP
£5.6m3.6
4Roefs
Sunderland · GKP
Also in: Value
£4.8m3.6
5Martinez
Aston Villa · GKP
£5.1m3.5
6Kelleher
Brentford · GKP
£4.8m3.5
7Verbruggen
Brighton · GKP
Also in: Value
£4.6m3.5
8Darlow
Leeds · GKP
Also in: Value
£4.0m3.5
9Lammens
Man Utd · GKP
£5.1m3.5
10Pickford
Everton · GKP
£5.6m3.4

Expected points (GW38)

PlayerxPts
Raya4.4
Pope3.7
Donnarumma3.6
Roefs3.6
Martinez3.5
Kelleher3.5
Verbruggen3.5
Darlow3.5

Price vs expected points

PlayerPrice (£m)xPts
Raya6.24.4
Pope53.7
Donnarumma5.63.6
Roefs4.83.6
Martinez5.13.5
Kelleher4.83.5
Verbruggen4.63.5
Darlow43.5
Lammens5.13.5
Pickford5.63.4

What stands out

Raya offers the highest expected points for the final gameweek. He's at home against a potentially comfortable Everton. Pope faces promotion-chasing Luton Town away; a clean sheet is possible but not guaranteed. Donnarumma plays Brighton at home, a tough fixture for clean sheets. Roefs faces Sheffield United away, who have struggled for consistency.

Per-player notes
Raya — 4.4 xPts, form 7.8, 4.4 ppg, 36.5% owned. xG 0.00 · xA 0.07 · ICT 58.
Pope — 3.7 xPts, form 3.0, 3.6 ppg, 4.3% owned. xG 0.16 · xA 0.00 · ICT 68.
Donnarumma — 3.6 xPts, form 4.4, 4.0 ppg, 9.3% owned. xG 0.00 · xA 0.13 · ICT 68.
Roefs — 3.6 xPts, form 3.0, 3.9 ppg, 8.1% owned. xG 0.00 · xA 0.10 · ICT 91.
Martinez — 3.5 xPts, form 3.2, 3.8 ppg, 4.5% owned. xG 0.00 · xA 0.08 · ICT 79.
Kelleher — 3.5 xPts, form 3.8, 3.8 ppg, 12.2% owned. xG 0.00 · xA 0.22 · ICT 88.
Verbruggen — 3.5 xPts, form 4.0, 3.5 ppg, 9.5% owned. xG 0.00 · xA 0.06 · ICT 91.
Darlow — 3.5 xPts, form 4.2, 3.3 ppg, 6.8% owned. xG 0.00 · xA 0.05 · ICT 49.
Glossary
xPts
Expected points: our model's forecast for the player's next gameweek score.
FDR
Fixture difficulty rating, 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest).
xG / xA / xGI
Expected goals, expected assists, and the sum (expected goal involvements).
ICT
The Influence-Creativity-Threat composite published with official data.
Ownership
Percent of managers who currently own the player.
Form
Recent points-per-match average over the last several matches.
xPts/£m
Expected points produced per £1m of price — our value score.
Snapshot taken 20 May 2026
Picks are deterministic from a snapshot of player news, prices, fixtures, and form at publish time. The model blends Expected Points (xPts) with fixture difficulty, expected minutes, and bonus likelihood. Read the full methodology.

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