Best value picks for Gameweek 38

Cheap, high-output players for Gameweek 38. Maximum expected points per million spent.

The short version
  • Darlow is the value pick at £4.0m (0.88 xPts/£m).
  • Average price across the top 10 is £5.1m.
Top-10 avg xPts
4.0
Top-10 avg ownership
13.2%
Cheapest
Darlow (£4.0m)
Most expensive
Gabriel (£7.3m)
Our top pick
Darlow
3.5
xPts GW38
Leeds · GKP · £4.0m · 6.8% owned
Fixture:
West Ham (A)

Full ranking

#PlayerPricexPts GW38
1Darlow
Leeds · GKP
Also in: Goalkeepers
£4.0m3.5
2E.Le Fée
Sunderland · MID
Also in: Differentials
£4.8m3.9
3Hermansen
West Ham · GKP
£4.2m3.4
4Guéhi
Man City · DEF
Also in: Free hit · Defenders
£5.1m4.1
5Gabriel
Arsenal · DEF
Also in: Captains · Top picks · Free hit
£7.3m5.7
6Calvert-Lewin
Leeds · FWD
Also in: Top picks · Free hit · Forwards
£5.8m4.5
7Mané
Wolves · FWD
£4.2m3.2
8Verbruggen
Brighton · GKP
Also in: Goalkeepers
£4.6m3.5
9Roefs
Sunderland · GKP
Also in: Goalkeepers
£4.8m3.6
10Enzo
Chelsea · MID
Also in: Captains · Top picks · Free hit
£6.4m4.8
11Van Hecke
Brighton · DEF
Also in: Defenders
£4.7m3.5
12Pope
Newcastle · GKP
Also in: Goalkeepers
£5.0m3.7

Expected points (GW38)

PlayerxPts
Darlow3.5
E.Le Fée3.9
Hermansen3.4
Guéhi4.1
Gabriel5.7
Calvert-Lewin4.5
Mané3.2
Verbruggen3.5
Roefs3.6
Enzo4.8

Price vs expected points

PlayerPrice (£m)xPts
Darlow43.5
E.Le Fée4.83.9
Hermansen4.23.4
Guéhi5.14.1
Gabriel7.35.7
Calvert-Lewin5.84.5
Mané4.23.2
Verbruggen4.63.5
Roefs4.83.6
Enzo6.44.8
Van Hecke4.73.5
Pope53.7

Top by position

GKP
DEF
MID
FWD

What stands out

Darlow offers the cheapest route into a potentially clean sheet on the final gameweek. E. Le Fée could provide attacking returns at a low price, especially if his creativity continues. Hermansen presents a solid budget goalkeeping option, capable of saves. Guéhi is an attacking threat from set-pieces and a strong defender. Gabriel's aerial ability on corners makes him a constant threat.

Per-player notes
Darlow3.5 xPts, form 4.2, 3.3 ppg, 6.8% owned. xG 0.00 · xA 0.05 · ICT 49.
E.Le Fée3.9 xPts, form 5.5, 4.1 ppg, 1.5% owned. xG 5.14 · xA 5.29 · ICT 175.
Hermansen3.4 xPts, form 2.8, 4.1 ppg, 0.9% owned. xG 0.00 · xA 0.01 · ICT 42.
Guéhi4.1 xPts, form 5.6, 5.1 ppg, 32.8% owned. xG 4.05 · xA 2.37 · ICT 161.
Gabriel5.7 xPts, form 7.8, 6.7 ppg, 46.1% owned. xG 2.94 · xA 1.75 · ICT 124.
Calvert-Lewin4.5 xPts, form 5.5, 4.1 ppg, 13.5% owned. xG 15.09 · xA 1.05 · ICT 189.
Mané3.2 xPts, form 4.2, 2.8 ppg, 1.3% owned. xG 1.83 · xA 2.99 · ICT 97.
Verbruggen3.5 xPts, form 4.0, 3.5 ppg, 9.5% owned. xG 0.00 · xA 0.06 · ICT 91.
Glossary
xPts
Expected points: our model's forecast for the player's next gameweek score.
FDR
Fixture difficulty rating, 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest).
xG / xA / xGI
Expected goals, expected assists, and the sum (expected goal involvements).
ICT
The Influence-Creativity-Threat composite published with official data.
Ownership
Percent of managers who currently own the player.
Form
Recent points-per-match average over the last several matches.
xPts/£m
Expected points produced per £1m of price — our value score.
Snapshot taken 20 May 2026
Picks are deterministic from a snapshot of player news, prices, fixtures, and form at publish time. The model blends Expected Points (xPts) with fixture difficulty, expected minutes, and bonus likelihood. Read the full methodology.