B.Fernandes vs Gabriel

Head-to-head captain comparison for Gameweek 38.

Our pick
Higher expected points this gameweek.
B.Fernandes
Man Utd
Gabriel
Arsenal

This gameweek

xPts5.85.7
FixtureBrighton (A)Crystal Palace (A)
Fixture difficulty (FDR)43

Form & minutes

Form5.57.8
Points per game6.56.7
Minutes (season)29752705
Bonus3830

Underlying

xG (season)10.722.94
xA (season)12.131.75
xGI (season)22.854.69
Goals83
Assists235
ICT index368.1123.9

Context

Price£10.4m£7.3m
Ownership47.8%46.1%
TeamMan UtdArsenal
PositionMIDDEF
XI Predictor gradeA+A+

Next 5 fixtures

B.Fernandes
Brighton (A)
Gabriel
Crystal Palace (A)

The verdict

Bruno Fernandes at home against Fulham offers strong potential. His expected points are high, and he's a reliable penalty taker. Gabriel faces a tough away fixture against Manchester United. While his expected points are similar, the fixture difficulty and Fernandes's home advantage make him the safer captaincy choice for the final gameweek.

Also strong this week

Compare them in the live tool

Snapshot taken 20 May 2026
Picks are deterministic from a snapshot of player news, prices, fixtures, and form at publish time. The model blends Expected Points (xPts) with fixture difficulty, expected minutes, and bonus likelihood. Read the full methodology.