Best captain picks for Gameweek 37

Top captaincy options for Gameweek 37 ranked by expected points. Featuring Haaland, Gabriel, B.Fernandes.

The short version
  • Haaland (Man City) is the model's top captain at 6.3 xPts vs Bournemouth.
  • Gabriel is the safest alternative at 6.1 xPts.
  • Enzo is the differential play at just 10.7% ownership.
Top-10 avg xPts
5.3
Top-10 avg ownership
34.7%
Cheapest
Enzo (£6.4m)
Most expensive
Haaland (£14.7m)
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Our top captain
Haaland
6.3
xPts GW37
Man City · FWD · £14.7m · 64.4% owned
Fixture:
Bournemouth (A)

Top 8 captain candidates

#PlayerPricexPts GW37
1Haaland
Man City · FWD
Also in: Top picks · Free hit · Forwards
£14.7m6.3
2Gabriel
Arsenal · DEF
Also in: Top picks · Free hit · Value
£7.3m6.1
3B.Fernandes
Man Utd · MID
£10.4m6.1
4João Pedro
Chelsea · FWD
Also in: Top picks · Free hit · Forwards
£7.5m5.1
5Thiago
Brentford · FWD
Also in: Top picks · Free hit · Forwards
£7.3m4.9
6Rice
Arsenal · MID
£7.2m4.7
7Gyökeres
Arsenal · FWD
Also in: Top picks · Forwards
£9.0m4.7
8Enzo
Chelsea · MID
£6.4m4.6

Expected points (GW37)

PlayerxPts
Haaland6.3
Gabriel6.1
B.Fernandes6.1
João Pedro5.1
Thiago4.9
Rice4.7
Gyökeres4.7
Enzo4.6

How they compare

MetricHaalandGabrielB.Fernandes
xPts1009797
Form10010074
Fixture4010060
Underlying1001779
Minutes9991100
Differential captain
Enzo
Chelsea · 4.6 xPts at just 10.7% ownership.

Head-to-head

What stands out

Haaland has a strong statistical case with high expected points against a defensive opposition. Gabriel faces Burnley at home, a fixture that historically offers attacking returns for Arsenal. Fernandes offers a different dynamic with his passing and goal threat, also at home. All three are good considerations, but Haaland's underlying numbers give him a slight edge.

Glossary
xPts
Expected points: our model's forecast for the player's next gameweek score.
FDR
Fixture difficulty rating, 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest).
xG / xA / xGI
Expected goals, expected assists, and the sum (expected goal involvements).
ICT
The Influence-Creativity-Threat composite published with official data.
Ownership
Percent of managers who currently own the player.
Form
Recent points-per-match average over the last several matches.
xPts/£m
Expected points produced per £1m of price — our value score.
Snapshot taken 12 May 2026
Picks are deterministic from a snapshot of player news, prices, fixtures, and form at publish time. The model blends Expected Points (xPts) with fixture difficulty, expected minutes, and bonus likelihood. Read the full methodology.