XI Predictor

Best forwards for Gameweek 37

Top forwards for Gameweek 37 ranked by expected points.

The short version
  • • Haaland (Man City) tops the list at 6.3 xPts.
  • • João Pedro and Thiago round out the top 3.
Top-10 avg xPts
4.7
Top-10 avg ownership
21.5%
Cheapest
Calvert-Lewin (£5.8m)
Most expensive
Haaland (£14.7m)
Our top pick
Haaland
6.3
xPts GW37
Man City · FWD · £14.7m · 64.4% owned
Fixture:
Bournemouth (A)

Full ranking

#PlayerPricexPts GW37
1Haaland
Man City · FWD
Also in: Captains · Top picks · Free hit
£14.7m6.3
2João Pedro
Chelsea · FWD
Also in: Captains · Top picks · Free hit
£7.5m5.1
3Thiago
Brentford · FWD
Also in: Captains · Top picks · Free hit
£7.3m4.9
4Gyökeres
Arsenal · FWD
Also in: Captains · Top picks
£9.0m4.7
5Mateta
Crystal Palace · FWD
Also in: Top picks · Differentials
£7.6m4.5
6Calvert-Lewin
Leeds · FWD
Also in: Top picks · Value
£5.8m4.5
7Welbeck
Brighton · FWD
Also in: Top picks · Differentials
£6.4m4.4
8Watkins
Aston Villa · FWD
£8.7m4.3
9Richarlison
Spurs · FWD
Also in: Differentials
£6.4m4.1
10Bowen
West Ham · FWD
£7.7m4.1

Expected points (GW37)

PlayerxPts
Haaland6.3
João Pedro5.1
Thiago4.9
Gyökeres4.7
Mateta4.5
Calvert-Lewin4.5
Welbeck4.4
Watkins4.3

Price vs expected points

PlayerPrice (£m)xPts
Haaland14.76.3
João Pedro7.55.1
Thiago7.34.9
Gyökeres94.7
Mateta7.64.5
Calvert-Lewin5.84.5
Welbeck6.44.4
Watkins8.74.3
Richarlison6.44.1
Bowen7.74.1

What stands out

Haaland has the highest expected points for the gameweek. Chelsea's João Pedro is second, with Brentford's Thiago and Arsenal's Gyökeres closely behind. Their underlying numbers suggest they are well-positioned to deliver points in the upcoming gameweek. Consider which of these forwards best fits your team structure and budget.

Per-player notes
Haaland — 6.3 xPts, form 6.2, 6.8 ppg, 64.4% owned. xG 25.27 · xA 2.15 · ICT 293.
João Pedro — 5.1 xPts, form 2.5, 5.2 ppg, 38.3% owned. xG 14.32 · xA 1.96 · ICT 211.
Thiago — 4.9 xPts, form 2.8, 4.9 ppg, 32.0% owned. xG 20.44 · xA 1.78 · ICT 251.
Gyökeres — 4.7 xPts, form 5.0, 3.7 ppg, 15.6% owned. xG 12.10 · xA 1.83 · ICT 154.
Mateta — 4.5 xPts, form 1.8, 3.7 ppg, 9.2% owned. xG 14.04 · xA 1.28 · ICT 144.
Calvert-Lewin — 4.5 xPts, form 4.6, 4.0 ppg, 12.9% owned. xG 15.01 · xA 1.03 · ICT 183.
Welbeck — 4.4 xPts, form 3.8, 3.5 ppg, 9.6% owned. xG 12.15 · xA 1.38 · ICT 165.
Watkins — 4.3 xPts, form 7.0, 4.0 ppg, 14.4% owned. xG 12.64 · xA 1.15 · ICT 186.
Glossary
xPts
Expected points: our model's forecast for the player's next gameweek score.
FDR
Fixture difficulty rating, 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest).
xG / xA / xGI
Expected goals, expected assists, and the sum (expected goal involvements).
ICT
The Influence-Creativity-Threat composite published with official data.
Ownership
Percent of managers who currently own the player.
Form
Recent points-per-match average over the last several matches.
xPts/£m
Expected points produced per £1m of price — our value score.
Snapshot taken 12 May 2026
Picks are deterministic from a snapshot of player news, prices, fixtures, and form at publish time. The model blends Expected Points (xPts) with fixture difficulty, expected minutes, and bonus likelihood. Read the full methodology.

More for Gameweek 37