XI Predictor

Best goalkeepers for Gameweek 1

Top goalkeepers for Gameweek 1 ranked by expected points.

The short version
  • • Raya (Arsenal) tops the list at 4.4 xPts.
  • • Martinez and A.Becker round out the top 3.
Top-10 avg xPts
3.7
Top-10 avg ownership
10.4%
Cheapest
Verbruggen (£4.5m)
Most expensive
Raya (£6.0m)
Our top pick
Raya
4.4
xPts GW1
Arsenal · GKP · £6.0m · 31.0% owned
Fixture:
Coventry City (H)

Full ranking

#PlayerPricexPts GW1
1Raya
Arsenal · GKP
Also in: Top picks · Free hit · Value
£6.0m4.4
2Martinez
Aston Villa · GKP
Also in: Value · Differentials
£5.0m3.7
3A.Becker
Liverpool · GKP
Also in: Differentials
£5.5m3.7
4Lammens
Man Utd · GKP
Also in: Value
£5.0m3.7
5Roefs
Sunderland · GKP
Also in: Value
£5.0m3.7
6Kelleher
Brentford · GKP
Also in: Value
£5.0m3.6
7Donnarumma
Man City · GKP
£5.5m3.6
8Pope
Newcastle · GKP
Also in: Value
£5.0m3.6
9Verbruggen
Brighton · GKP
Also in: Value
£4.5m3.4
10Henderson
Crystal Palace · GKP
£5.0m3.4

Expected points (GW1)

PlayerxPts
Raya4.4
Martinez3.7
A.Becker3.7
Lammens3.7
Roefs3.7
Kelleher3.6
Donnarumma3.6
Pope3.6

Price vs expected points

PlayerPrice (£m)xPts
Raya64.4
Martinez53.7
A.Becker5.53.7
Lammens53.7
Roefs53.7
Kelleher53.6
Donnarumma5.53.6
Pope53.6
Verbruggen4.53.4
Henderson53.4

What stands out

Raya looks like a strong option for the first gameweek with a high expected points total. Martinez and Alisson are also predicted to score well, suggesting they could be good value. Lammens offers a slightly cheaper alternative, with a similar expected points return to the other top contenders.

Per-player notes
Raya — 4.4 xPts, form 0.0, 4.4 ppg, 31.0% owned. xG 0.00 · xA 0.07 · ICT 58.
Martinez — 3.7 xPts, form 0.0, 3.8 ppg, 4.9% owned. xG 0.00 · xA 0.08 · ICT 79.
A.Becker — 3.7 xPts, form 0.0, 3.5 ppg, 4.0% owned. xG 0.00 · xA 0.03 · ICT 48.
Lammens — 3.7 xPts, form 0.0, 3.4 ppg, 19.7% owned. xG 0.00 · xA 0.00 · ICT 64.
Roefs — 3.7 xPts, form 0.0, 3.9 ppg, 4.9% owned. xG 0.00 · xA 0.10 · ICT 93.
Kelleher — 3.6 xPts, form 0.0, 3.9 ppg, 5.7% owned. xG 0.00 · xA 0.22 · ICT 94.
Donnarumma — 3.6 xPts, form 0.0, 4.0 ppg, 11.0% owned. xG 0.00 · xA 0.13 · ICT 68.
Pope — 3.6 xPts, form 0.0, 3.6 ppg, 1.2% owned. xG 0.16 · xA 0.00 · ICT 71.
Glossary
xPts
Expected points: our model's forecast for the player's next gameweek score.
FDR
Fixture difficulty rating, 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest).
xG / xA / xGI
Expected goals, expected assists, and the sum (expected goal involvements).
ICT
The Influence-Creativity-Threat composite published with official data.
Ownership
Percent of managers who currently own the player.
Form
Recent points-per-match average over the last several matches.
xPts/£m
Expected points produced per £1m of price — our value score.
Snapshot taken 13 Aug 2026
Picks are deterministic from a snapshot of player news, prices, fixtures, and form at publish time. The model blends Expected Points (xPts) with fixture difficulty, expected minutes, and bonus likelihood. Read the full methodology.

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